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Oversold Rally Keeps Shorts Honest
Chris Brecher - March 29, 2017
Oversold Rally Keeps Shorts Honest
Most markets had nice oversold rallies from oversold MACD readings. With resistance just overhead on the /ES, I expect some good short opportunities the rest of the week. . . .
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The RUT Held Support
Chris Brecher - March 28, 2017
The RUT Held Support
After a sharp morning sell-off, the firmness in the RUT calmed many fears about the overall markets. Many of the RUT stocks I have highlighted as longs worked great today, led by AKRX, EXAS, and SEDG. . . .
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The Markets Hold Hourly Support, For Now
Chris Brecher - March 27, 2017
The Markets Hold Hourly Support, For Now
After a day when news keeps whipping around the markets, overall markets stayed around the unchanged levels today. We were buying cheap options again, but trading ultra short term. Many of the trades were doubles! . . .
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All Eyes on the House Vote
Chris Brecher - March 24, 2017
All Eyes on the House Vote
As I have mentioned on the Simpler Stocks premium chat all week, it was time for the /TF to outperform the /NQ. Today the /TF is rallying from a big oversold condition, while the /NQ is weak, led by GOOGL and AMZN on the downside. Many traders are just siting on the sidelines this afternoon, anxiously awaiting the House vote later today. . . .
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Do We Follow the /NQ or the /TF?
Chris Brecher - March 23, 2017
Do We Follow the /NQ or the /TF?
The markets worked off their oversold condition in a poor way today, as strength in the /NQ was offset by continued weakness in the /TF. If the /NQ rolls over tomorrow, look for a another big move down in the /ES. . . .
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Fears of Delays in Any Fiscal Stimulus Wallops Most Markets
Chris Brecher - March 22, 2017
Fears of Delays in Any Fiscal Stimulus Wallops Most Markets
The markets got hammered today, as the weakness in the /TF finally led to a realization that economic stimulus could take longer than expected. . . .
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The Russell Leads Again
Chris Brecher - March 21, 2017
The Russell Leads Again
The weak Russell spooked traders once again, as the strength in the /NQ was not enough to offset its effect. Now at the bottom of the range, the /TF needs to hold 1380, or it could test 1350 again. . . .
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S&P Rebalancing Led to Some Great Opportunities
Chris Brecher - March 20, 2017
S&P Rebalancing Led to Some Great Opportunities
The S&P Quarterly Rebalancing led to a late day sell-off in a few select stocks. Luckily, in the Simpler Stocks live trading room, we were able to jump on most of them. . . .
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The Open Interest Plays Worked Well
Chris Brecher - March 17, 2017
The Open Interest Plays Worked Well
While the overall market digested the FED gains, we were trading the open interest plays that present themselves on expiration. I always show a list of good candidates on Simpler Stocks. Many of them were winners today. . . .
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The Market Reacts Well to the Fed Statement
Chris Brecher - March 16, 2017
The Market Reacts Well to the Fed Statement
The markets reacted well to the Fed statement today, led by a nice rally in the resource related stocks. Gold was sharply higher, while the steels had a great day. Luckily, before the opening, I posted a TOS scan of bullish Russell stocks. With the /TF exploding higher today, that idea worked out pretty well. . . .
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Thin Trading Before the FED
Chris Brecher - March 15, 2017
Thin Trading Before the FED
Some market jitters before the FED, coupled with thin trading because of the storm in the Northeast, led to weakness across the board today. The biggest losers were the Airlines and the Drugs stocks. . . .
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The Calm Before the Storm, Literally
Chris Brecher - March 14, 2017
The Calm Before the Storm, Literally
Trading was subdued today, as many in the Northeast are hunkering down in advance of a big snowstorm. I am still seeing some warning signs as the sell off in the /zb and the DJT continues. . . .
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The /ES Held Support Again
Chris Brecher - March 13, 2017
The /ES Held Support Again
After a big pop on the opening, the /ES started to sell-off mid afternoon, only to stop at support. Once the hourly MACD was oversold, buyers stepped in, and moved the market to highs near the close. With the Fed meeting next week, I expect trading to remain muted till the results of that meeting. . . .
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/ES Hit Support
Chris Brecher - March 10, 2017
/ES Hit Support
A continued sell-off in bonds and oil spooked the /ES early, but dip buyers show up around the important 2350 area. With a number of divergences still in place, I expect 2350 to be tested again soon. . . .
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Plunging Crude Oil Puts a Damper on Any Big Rally
Chris Brecher - March 9, 2017
Plunging Crude Oil Puts a Damper on Any Big Rally
As I have warned for three weeks, the oil stocks were forecasting a plunge in /CL. But even with that plunge, the overall market held up today, led by the FANG stocks. The next few days are key, as a further sell-off in the DJT and the /TF could be forecasting a big market drop. . . .
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Timid Trading Before the Unemployment Report
Chris Brecher - March 8, 2017
Timid Trading Before the Unemployment Report
Stocks traded in a narrow range today, as weakness in the biotechs was offset by strength in some of the FANG stocks. I am watching the /TF and the DJT. If they continue to weaken, then I think the /ES could move sharply lower. . . .
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